Saturday January 31st, 2026
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The Recession Indicator Edit

Cloud Dancer is 2026’s color of the year; soft, muted, and calm, just like our wardrobes… and bank accounts.

Mariam Elmiesiry

The Recession Indicator Edit

When the economy tightens its belt, fashion sends signals in the form of longer hemlines, muted palettes, corporate core crawling from desk to disco. Economists analyzing data from 1921 to 2009 found hemlines shift following the economy by about three to four years and poor times mean hemlines creep toward the floor. Meanwhile the lipstick index, a term coined in 2001 by Estée Lauder chairman Leonard Lauder refers to when lipstick sales across all brands went up after the 2001 attacks when people needed affordable dopamine hits because buying houses are out of the question.

With increasing layoffs and rising expenses, the trend has gravitated towards sharp, polished business wear that wave competence and stability. This explains the corporate-inspired business styles on the runways throughout Fashion Week as well as the business attire that we wear out to dinner with friends on an average Thursday night. Options include longer hemlines, a neutral color scheme, and everyone's giving "employed and wishes to stay that way".

Here's your guide to GDP-snitch trends.

Toteme | Woven Jacket

Scandinavian minimalism meets recession-proof dressing. Oversized but perfectly tailored, in the neutral tones that scream stability. The Row's little sister at half the price.

Rhode | Lip Case

Hailey Bieber's viral bestseller and the affordable luxury we're all layering. Tinted lip treatments grew 60%+ in 2025 because when you can't afford the dress, you buy the gloss. Peptides, shine, and that your-lips-but-richer look for $25.

Myne l Pinstripe Oversized Blazer - Brown

The oversized cut meets business core reflects how fashion responds to broader shifts in mood and behavior dressing for stability, versatility, and composure without sacrificing on style. 

Massimo Dutti l Pleated Midi Skirt

By teaming this skirt with a comfortable knit, you give it a relaxed feel for weekend outings and during the week, it team's up well with a fitted blazer for work or the office to bar style type of look.

DÔEN | Anisa Alpaca‑Blend Cardigan

Pantone’s Color of the Year 2026 is Cloud Dancer, a soft off-white that basically says, “I’m calm, I’m neutral, I’m not panicking… yet.” DÔEN Anisa Alpaca‑Blend Cardigan feels like the financial planner of sweaters: cozy, responsible, with just a hint of Victorian.

CRYBABY l Vinyl Face Plush

Small, collectible, and attachable to your existing bags, the Labubus and the CRYBAB(ies) give a wink of fun and are the perfect mini indulgence, much like the lipstick effect.

COS l Pima Cotton Barrel-Leg Trousers

The recession-proof bottom half. Barrel-leg, in that inky blue dark that photographs well on LinkedIn. Pair with loafers for "I'm hireable" or heels for "I got promoted during the downturn.

Uniqlo l HEATTECH Ultra Warm T-Shirt

Because when heating bills spike, you layer from the inside out. The invisible insurance policy under your office-appropriate midi skirt. 

H&M l Mesh-look loafers

Business casual with a textural twist. 

JW PEI | Carmen Top Handle Bag - Reddish Brown

Vegan leather that photographs like the real thing at a fraction of the therapy bills. Structured, top-handle elegance under $100.